A new ILO report says the long-term impact of the
youth employment crisis could be felt for decades, creating a generation at
risk of suffering decent work deficits throughout their lives.
News | 08 May 2013
GENEVA (ILO News) – Despite some regional differences, the global youth
unemployment rate continues to rise and is projected to reach 12.8 per cent by
2018 – wiping out the gains made at the start of the economic recovery.
Behind this worsening figure is an even more worrying picture, revealing persistent unemployment, a proliferation of temporary jobs and growing youth discouragement in advanced economies; and poor quality, informal, subsistence jobs in developing countries.
According to the ILO’s Global Employment Trends for Youth 2013 report, an estimated 73.4 million young people – 12.6 per cent – are expected to be out of work in 2013, close to the levels reached at the peak of the economic crisis in 2009. This is an increase of 3.5 million between 2007 and 2013.
Earlier projections had put the 2012 figure at 12.7 per cent but this has been adjusted to 12.4 based on new data. The trend, however, remains upward.
“These figures underline the need to focus policies on growth, massive improvements in education and training systems, and targeted youth employment actions,” says José Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, ILO’s Assistant Director-General for Policy.
“Employers, education providers and youth often live in parallel universes, they do not sufficiently engage with each other. We know a lot about what works but real impact and scale can only be achieved through close partnerships and collective action,” he added.
Behind this worsening figure is an even more worrying picture, revealing persistent unemployment, a proliferation of temporary jobs and growing youth discouragement in advanced economies; and poor quality, informal, subsistence jobs in developing countries.
According to the ILO’s Global Employment Trends for Youth 2013 report, an estimated 73.4 million young people – 12.6 per cent – are expected to be out of work in 2013, close to the levels reached at the peak of the economic crisis in 2009. This is an increase of 3.5 million between 2007 and 2013.
Earlier projections had put the 2012 figure at 12.7 per cent but this has been adjusted to 12.4 based on new data. The trend, however, remains upward.
“These figures underline the need to focus policies on growth, massive improvements in education and training systems, and targeted youth employment actions,” says José Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, ILO’s Assistant Director-General for Policy.
“Employers, education providers and youth often live in parallel universes, they do not sufficiently engage with each other. We know a lot about what works but real impact and scale can only be achieved through close partnerships and collective action,” he added.
Across regions
The highest regional youth unemployment rate in 2012 is registered in
the Middle East, where 28.3 per cent were out of work – more than one in four
economically active young people. On current projections, this is expected to
rise to 30 per cent in 2018.
North Africa is also experiencing a very high youth unemployment rate – 23.7 per cent in 2012.
North Africa is also experiencing a very high youth unemployment rate – 23.7 per cent in 2012.
Young women in both these regions are the worst hit – 42.6 per cent of
the female labour force in the Middle East is out of work, 37 per cent in North
Africa.
Globally, the lowest rates in 2012 were in East Asia (9.5 per cent), and South Asia (9.3 per cent).
Globally, the lowest rates in 2012 were in East Asia (9.5 per cent), and South Asia (9.3 per cent).
Projections
In advanced economies, the youth unemployment rate in 2012 was 18.1 per
cent. It is likely to remain above 17 per cent until 2015 and is not predicted
to drop below 17 per cent before 2016. In Greece and Spain, more than half of
the economically active youth population is unemployed.
Many young people have given up on the job search altogether. If they
were factored into the unemployment figures, the report says, the number of
young people either unemployed or discouraged from seeking work in advanced
economies would increase to 13 million, compared to the 10.7 million who were
actually unemployed in 2012.
Shrinking options
Those who do find work are forced to be less selective about the type of
job they settle for, including part-time work and temporary contracts because
they are in desperate need of any income.
“Secure jobs that were once the norm for previous generations – at least in advanced economies – have become less easily accessible for today’s youth. The growth of temporary and part-time work, in particular since the height of the global economic crisis, suggests that such work is often the only option for young workers,” Salazar-Xirinachs explains.
The share of young people being out of work for at least six months is also increasing. In the OECD countries, more than one third of young, unemployed persons were classified “long-term unemployed” in 2011 – up from one quarter of the unemployed in 2008.
This is particularly worrying, says Salazar-Xirinachs: “The long-term consequences of persistently high youth unemployment include the loss of valuable work experience and the erosion of occupational skills. Moreover, unemployment experiences early in the career of a young person are likely to result in wage scars that continue to depress employment and earnings’ prospects even decades later.”
The number of NEET’s in advanced economies – those neither in employment, nor education or training is growing and stands at one in six – putting them at risk of labour market and social exclusion.
“Secure jobs that were once the norm for previous generations – at least in advanced economies – have become less easily accessible for today’s youth. The growth of temporary and part-time work, in particular since the height of the global economic crisis, suggests that such work is often the only option for young workers,” Salazar-Xirinachs explains.
The share of young people being out of work for at least six months is also increasing. In the OECD countries, more than one third of young, unemployed persons were classified “long-term unemployed” in 2011 – up from one quarter of the unemployed in 2008.
This is particularly worrying, says Salazar-Xirinachs: “The long-term consequences of persistently high youth unemployment include the loss of valuable work experience and the erosion of occupational skills. Moreover, unemployment experiences early in the career of a young person are likely to result in wage scars that continue to depress employment and earnings’ prospects even decades later.”
The number of NEET’s in advanced economies – those neither in employment, nor education or training is growing and stands at one in six – putting them at risk of labour market and social exclusion.
Skills mismatch
Skills and occupational mismatches, which are also increasing, are in
danger of becoming entrenched, without policies to re-skill jobseekers – in
close collaboration with the private sector. Youth who are vulnerable to
occupational mismatch include, in particular, young women and youth who have
already experienced unemployment.
“These consequences are likely to become stronger, the longer the youth unemployment crisis continues and will lead to an economic and social cost – increasing poverty and slow growth – that will far outweigh the cost of inaction,” Salazar-Xirinachs stresses.
“These consequences are likely to become stronger, the longer the youth unemployment crisis continues and will lead to an economic and social cost – increasing poverty and slow growth – that will far outweigh the cost of inaction,” Salazar-Xirinachs stresses.
Targeted action needed
The report urges governments to take immediate and
targeted action to tackle the youth employment crisis. Concerted and joint
efforts by employers’ organizations and trade unions are also called for.
It stresses that there is no “one-size-fits all” solution but says that the key policy areas, identified in the ILO’s June 2012 Call for Action, is a global framework which can be adapted to national and local circumstances.
The report calls for:
It stresses that there is no “one-size-fits all” solution but says that the key policy areas, identified in the ILO’s June 2012 Call for Action, is a global framework which can be adapted to national and local circumstances.
The report calls for:
·
Fostering pro-employment growth and
decent job creation through macroeconomic policies, employability, labour
market policies, youth entrepreneurship and rights to tackle the social
consequences of the crisis, while ensuring financial and fiscal sustainability.
·
Comprehensive measures targeting
disadvantaged young people in advanced economies with high numbers of
unemployed youth. These include education, training, work experience support
and recruitment incentives for potential employers.
·
Integrated employment and livelihoods
strategies and programmes in developing countries, including training in
literacy, occupational and entrepreneurial skills and business support.
For
further information, please contact the Director, ILO Office Dar es Salaam, P.
O. Box 9212, Tel: 2196700, Fax: 2126627, Email: daressalaam@ilo.org OR ILO Department of Communication,
Geneva, at: +4122/799-7912,
communication@ilo.org,
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